Abstract
Somalia’s rural drylands face persistent water scarcity, environmental degradation, and institutional fragility. The World Bank’s Barwaaqo Project (P177627) seeks to strengthen rural water systems, improve agricultural productivity, and rehabilitate degraded environments (World Bank, 2022). Despite its transformative potential, the project faces political, operational, environmental, and macroeconomic challenges that hinder its progress (World Bank, 2025). This paper analyzes these problems, suggests actionable solutions, presents a risk-management assessment, and concludes with strategic recommendations for enhancing effectiveness and sustainability. The findings highlight the need for strengthened governance, improved implementation efficiency, and long-term sustainability mechanisms.
Introduction
Somalia’s arid and semi-arid regions continue to suffer from recurring droughts, insecurity, and fragile institutional systems. These pressures undermine rural livelihoods and exacerbate poverty. To address these challenges, the World Bank launched the Barwaaqo – Somalia Water for Rural Resilience Project (P177627) in 2022, providing US$70 million to expand water access, improve climate resilience, and support environmental restoration (World Bank, 2022). However, ongoing implementation reports reveal slow progress and elevated risk ratings, underscoring the need for deeper analysis (World Bank, 2025).
This paper examines the project’s major challenges, outlines solutions, evaluates risks, and proposes recommendations to improve outcomes in rural Somali communities.
Problem Analysis
Political and Governance Challenges
Governance challenges are among the highest risks facing the Barwaaqo Project. The Implementation Status & Results Report (ISR) identifies political and governance risk as “High,” reflecting difficulties in harmonizing project operations across Federal Member States (World Bank, 2025). Additionally, external reporting indicates attempts by some political actors to influence staffing and project administration in Hirshabelle State (Shabelle Media Network, 2025). Such political interference threatens continuity, delays decision-making, and weakens public trust.
Slow Disbursement and Implementation Delays
Project progress has lagged projections. As of the 2025 ISR, implementation progress remained “Moderately Satisfactory,” with key activities, including community planning and water infrastructure construction, delayed due to slow disbursement and capacity constraints (World Bank, 2025). Earlier ISRs also documented limited fund absorption, signalling systemic bottlenecks within project implementation units (World Bank, 2023).
Environmental and Social Risks
The Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) outlines substantial risks tied to water extraction, land access, biodiversity, and community safety (World Bank, 2022). Infrastructure developments in pastoral and agro-pastoral areas can provoke land disputes, especially where communal tenure systems lack formal documentation (World Bank, 2022). Labour influxes during construction can also increase risks of exploitation, gender-based violence, and social tension, requiring strict safeguard enforcement.
Macroeconomic Instability
Somalia’s macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, a weak currency valuation, and limited fiscal space, pose risks to project costs and sustainability (World Bank, 2025). Inflation may increase the price of construction materials and skilled labour, undermining procurement efficiency and shrinking the practical value of project funds.
Sustainability and Maintenance Barriers
The long-term sustainability of water infrastructure remains uncertain without strong local institutions. Previous World Bank assessments in Somalia have noted the risk of post-project infrastructure abandonment when communities lack maintenance funding or governance structures (World Bank, 2022). The Barwaaqo Project confronts similar challenges: without community ownership and cost-recovery mechanisms, water points and restored landscapes may deteriorate after project closure.
Solutions and Strategic Recommendations
Strengthening Governance and Coordination
Improving governance is essential. Intergovernmental coordination mechanisms involving the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) and the Federal Member States should be strengthened to clarify roles, ensure consistent communication, and foster shared ownership of project activities (World Bank, 2025). Transparency initiatives, such as public disclosure of procurement plans and staffing decisions, can mitigate political interference (World Bank, 2023).
Accelerating Disbursement and Enhancing Implementation Efficiency
Implementation efficiency can be improved by linking disbursements to key performance milestones, such as the completion of Community Investment Plans (CIPs) or verified construction outputs (World Bank, 2025). Deploying additional technical teams to support CIP development can speed up community engagement processes. Furthermore, fully utilizing the project’s Management Information System (MIS) strengthens real-time tracking of progress, financial flows, and bottlenecks (World Bank, 2023).
Strengthening Environmental and Social Safeguards
Safeguards must be strictly enforced to avoid environmental and community harm. High-risk subprojects should undergo formal Environmental and Social Impact Assessments (ESIAs), and all activities must follow approved Environmental and Social Management Plans (World Bank, 2022). A robust and accessible grievance redress mechanism can empower marginalized populations, including women, pastoralists, and youth, to voice concerns (World Bank, 2022). Labour and SEA/SH safeguards should be applied rigorously to protect community members.
Promoting Sustainability and Local Ownership
Long-term resilience depends on community-managed systems. Establishing water-user committees responsible for operation, maintenance, and fee collection is essential (World Bank, 2022). Cost-recovery schemes, such as small user fees or community savings groups, can finance repairs and infrastructure upkeep. Additionally, integrating environmental restoration activities with climate financing, such as payments for ecosystem services, can provide long-term incentives for stewardship.
Mitigating Macroeconomic Risks
Given Somalia’s unstable macroeconomic environment, the project should incorporate price-adjustment clauses into procurement contracts, prioritize local sourcing where possible, and maintain financial buffers to offset inflationary pressures (World Bank, 2025). Diversifying funding through co-financing from donors or climate funds can also reduce vulnerability to economic shocks.
Risk Management Assessment
| Risk Category | Potential Impact | Mitigation Strategy |
| Political & Governance | Delays, leadership changes, and fragmented coordination | Oversight committees; transparent procurement; intergovernmental forums (World Bank, 2025) |
| Implementation | Slow progress, unspent funds | Milestone-linked disbursement; MIS monitoring; technical support (World Bank, 2023) |
| Environmental & Social | Land conflict, unsafe labour practices | ESIAs; ESMP enforcement; grievance systems (World Bank, 2022) |
| Macroeconomic | Inflation, cost overruns | Price-adjustment contracts; local procurement; financial buffers (World Bank, 2025) |
| Sustainability | Infrastructure degradation | Water-user committees; cost-recovery models; climate finance (World Bank, 2022) |
Conclusion
The Barwaaqo Project is a critical initiative for enhancing water security, agricultural productivity, and environmental resilience in Somalia’s drylands. However, political instability, implementation delays, environmental risks, and macroeconomic volatility pose significant challenges. Addressing these issues requires strengthened governance, accelerated implementation mechanisms, rigorous enforcement of safeguards, and sustainable community-driven systems. With strategic adjustments and robust risk management, Barwaaqo can achieve its goal of improving water access and climate resilience for hundreds of thousands of rural Somalis.
References
Shabelle Media Network. (2025). Crises unfold in Hirshabelle as mismanagement of World Bank-funded projects is revealed. https://shabellemedia.com/crises-unfold-in-hirshabelle-as-mismanagement-of-world-bank-funded-projects-revealed/
World Bank. (2022). Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) – Barwaaqo Project (P177627).https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099030325072531030/pdf/P177627-16ac7af3-7458-405c-ba17-7c3321958c54.pdf
World Bank. (2022, December 15). World Bank grants $70 million for delivery of water, agriculture, livestock, and environmental services in Somalia. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2022/12/15/world-bank-grants-70-million-for-delivery-of-water-agriculture-livestock-and-environmental-services-in-somalia
World Bank. (2023). Implementation Status & Results Report: Barwaaqo – Somalia Water for Rural Resilience Project (P177627), Seq. No. 1.https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099142003032320848/pdf/P177627096709000c08bfe0d11acb6827e1.pdf
World Bank. (2025). Implementation Status & Results Report: Barwaaqo – Somalia Water for Rural Resilience Project (P177627), Seq. No. 5. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099031925024025866/pdf/P177627-e4abed3e-574b-4393-bd58-60984ea43f0c.pdf
Best Regards,
Ali Adan
