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qaran24.com » Opinion » Abiy’s strategy to stay in Power is Exposed: Deception – Perception
Opinion

Abiy’s strategy to stay in Power is Exposed: Deception – Perception

Qaran24By Qaran2430 April 2024No Comments8 Mins Read
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Abiy Ahmed’s Leadership is Steering Ethiopia Toward Collapse
Abiy Ahmed’s Leadership is Steering Ethiopia Toward Collapse
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By Dr. Mastewal Abera

It is said that “bashing in the head of a snake is effective at ending its life.” Otherwise, the snake, with its head unattached, can try to survive using all the means it has. Even if most of its body is harmed, it will attempt to defend itself by striking. This is exactly how Abiy’s government is behaving these days. His government has lost grip on the country.  It has no direct control over the Tigray region after a deadly two-year war with TPLF/TDF. It lacks a meaningful administrative network in the Oromia region, which is an active conflict zone with OLA/OLF. Moreover, it is engaged in a full-blown war across the Amhara region, resulting in the loss of hundreds of thousands of soldiers in just eight months, affecting many civilians in the region.  It is reported that 70% of the country’s administrative regions are not under his control. Even the other regions in the South, Afar, Somalia, Gambela, and Benishangul are all experiencing some form of turmoil. The only place where Abiy’s government seems to have a grip is in Addis Ababa, where the head of the government lies. 

His government is creating survival strategies from the capital city, controlling the media, social media, the bank, intelligence, and the military headquarters. He tries to create the perception of a government that exists above all troubles and disastrous situations. How can this perception of a functioning government in Ethiopia be made when all the facts are against it? For Abiy, the answer is simple: engage in more deception. He calls it the grand narrative. He aims to distract the people from the main agenda that matters to them and the country. Everything about his way of doing things revolves around perception, deception, and perception! At the core of his methodology, the key to gaining and maintaining power is creating perception through deception. There is no genuine substance to what he has done or plans to do as a government. He must deceive the people to continue living his dream of being a king.

As far as Abiy Ahmed is concerned, the blueprint of his government is that he is a king. In his own words, his mother has said it. Parks, palaces, lodges, planting trees, and so on are all part of the puzzle for creating that perception.   By the way, deception has been a weapon used by many individuals across the globe in human history. Therefore, it is crucial not to underestimate the power of deception, especially in societies that lack critical thinking and reasoning skills. The internet and social media age have amplified these deceptive efforts, allowing them to create the desired perception, even in the face of hard facts on the ground. Abiy is not alone in this; look at what Donald Trump does daily. 

Suza of Darius  and Addis Ababa of Abiy  

From 522-486 BCE, the Persian King Darius I, the Great, had a complex palace in Susa. The palace was built 2500 years ago in western Iran. It lay at the center of the Persian Empire that stretched from the Nile and the Aegean to the Indus Valley. The palace in Suza provides security for the kings and the people living there. “Abiy is to build a Cushitic empire that will extend beyond the existing borders of Ethiopia, encompassing many nations in eastern Africa,”  Kenyan panelists discussed on TV. He himself has literally said that in 2050 there will be two powerful nations on the planet, and one of them will be this Cushitic empire. That is why he dared to build a marine power in Somaliland against the sovereignty of Somalia. He is also not shy to have some control in the Red Sea. It is all about building his own kingdom. Addis is his seat, and he is building a palace in Addis Ababa. To protect the city, he is building another city called Sheger around Addis Ababa, so that it can serve as a shield from other forces who dare to take power from him. 

Addis Ababa has become the city where all of Abiy Ahmed’s perception-deception programs run daily. These days, we see news headlines stating, “Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has convened representatives from the zones of Amhara, Oromia, Tigray, and all other regions to address critical current issues facing the region. Or he has spoken with the leaders of the Orthodox, Protestant, and soon Muslim communities. Where? In Addis Ababa. Many people from different regions travel to Addis Ababa to talk to the king. All these people from other areas must travel to Addis Ababa to speak to him instead of him traveling to the people. He brings all of them to Addis to create the perception that he still controls the country. Such an outlook can help him to be perceived as a legitimate government to get money from the IMF and World Bank, for example. 

Residents of Addis like Ester in Suza 

Once upon a time in Susa, a beautiful Jewish girl became the wife of Xerxes, the king of Persia (486-465 BC). She lived the best life in Susa while her people faced an existential threat. At first, she was reluctant and ignored the danger her people were facing. She was comfortable with the lifestyle she was experiencing and even tended to undermine the status of her people as backward and uncivilized. However, she was raised by her cousin Mordecai, who reminded her of who she was. He told her that Susa could not save her from the impending destruction. She heard him and ultimately saved her people in the Persian Empire, initiating the Festival of Purim. 

Addis Ababa was the source of inspiration for all Ethiopians. It is shameful that Addis Ababa has lost its significance in Ethiopian politics. It became a paralyzed city where the wicked triumph daily with its deception. In the past, the people in Addis Ababa used to inspire freedom, justice, and equality across the country. However, most of its brightest residents have fled the city for the civilized world. The existing residents feel that Addis Ababa is their sanctuary, like Susa! As long as their Susa is safe, they feel secure. If the whole country burns down, these residents will act as if everything is normal. 

For example, the city of Ataye, 256 km from Addis Ababa, has burned over nine times in just a few years, yet the residents of Addis Ababa felt absolutely nothing. They didn’t even hear about how many people were affected in the new city called Sheger, just outside of Addis Ababa. They continued their daily lives as if nothing had happened. Addis used to be a city atop a hill for Ethiopians, but now, the residents are like Ester, the resident of Susa. If 115 million people suffer, as long as the 5 million residents of Addis are well, it does not matter. However, this model of life is not sustainable. What is going on in the Oromia, Amhara, and Tigray regions will catch up with the city. It will be too late, and no one will save the city then. The golden rule states, “Do unto others as you would have them do unto you.” Addis should have stopped the leadership madness harbored within its borders. The well-being of Addis Ababa should be equated with the well-being of the places in the country. Come on Addis , you can do better. You are the city of Africans.

At least there is No confusion. 

What are the basic roles of a government? Which responsibilities should a government prioritize? How should a democratic (election-based) government behave? These questions should be asked at this moment in time. The people gather in Addis Ababa, most of whom do not dare to ask serious questions. If they do, they know that the Suza Castle around their lives will tremble. Therefore, they choose to keep quiet. Some even become part of the deception-perception scheme that the government is engaged in. The good thing is that there is no confusion among most Ethiopians about who the government is. There is deception and drama for perception, but it is all clear. The depth of the intent of those who have captured the state with Abiy Ahmed is known to all people inside the country and even beyond. It is only a matter of time before everything crumbles. 

When that happens, Ethiopians should look out for each other and build a stable government that prioritizes the safety and well-being of its own people. All communities should draw on the wisdom of generations in the country to live peacefully together. All regions and groups of people should be represented by authentic individuals, not those who have sold their souls for money and status at the expense of the people’s misery in the country. Those opportunists or calculated deceivers should vacate their offices and make way for those who can represent the people. The kingdom of perception and deception should leave Ethiopia soon! But it needs all its citizens to be truthful to self and to other citizens. The spirit of solidarity should be intensified instead of division and selfishness. 

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Laakiin mucaaradnimaduna ma aha inay qofka ku khasabto inuu dafiro wax kasta oo wanaagsan oo dalka ka socda. Dowladda waa in lagula xisaabtamaa hufnaanta doorashooyinka, xorriyadda siyaasadeed, dastuurka iyo ilaalinta mucaaradka. Sidoo kale Golaha Mustaqbalka waa in la weydiiyaa: muxuu yahay qorshihiisa beddelka ahi? Yaa shacabka uga wakiishay? Sideese gole ku-meel-gaar ahi uga duwanaanayaa heshiisyadii hore ee xilalka loogu qaybsan jiray isla siyaasiyiinta? Maxay beesha caalamku Golaha ula hadlayso? Dalalka shisheeye Golaha Mustaqbalka ulama xiriiraan sababtoo ah wuxuu caddeeyay inuu haysto taageerada aqlabiyadda shacabka. Waxay ula xiriiraan sababtoo ah Soomaaliya weli waa dowlad federaal ah oo nugul, Puntland iyo Jubalandna waxay leeyihiin muhiimad juqraafiyeed iyo mid amni. Deeq-bixiyeyaashu waxay ka baqayaan in khilaafka siyaasadeed uu wiiqo dagaalka Al-Shabaab ama uu abuuro qalalaase cusub. Waa walaac la fahmi karo. Laakiin raadinta xasillooni degdeg ahi marar badan waxay Soomaaliya dib ugu celisay halkii ay ka soo dhaqaaqday. Marka dowladda dhexe isku daydo isbeddel weyn, waxaa soo noqda baaqii ahaa: “Marka hore siyaasiyiinta hala heshiisiiyo.” Natiijadu waxay noqotaa in siyaasiga awooda inuu wax carqaladeeyo la siiyo miisaan ka weyn kan muwaadinka doonaya inuu si nabad ah u codeeyo. Beesha caalamku waa inay fududeyso wada-hadalka, laakiin ma aha inay noqoto garsooraha ugu dambeeya ee siyaasadda Soomaaliya. Mustaqbalka dalka waa inuu ku xirnaadaa dastuurkiisa, hay’adihiisa iyo codka dadkiisa—ma aha raalli ahaanshaha safaaradaha. Wada-hadal haa, awood diidmo joogto ah maya Isbarbardhigga mararka qaar lagu sameeyo Suudaan wuxuu leeyahay xad. Ciidamada RSF waa ciidan hubeysan oo dagaal ba’an kula jira dowladda Suudaan, halka Golaha Mustaqbalka uu yahay isbahaysi siyaasadeed oo sharci ah. Dowladda Soomaaliya mucaaradkeeda ulama dhaqmi karto sida jabhad hubeysan. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, hal mabda’ ayaa muhiim ah: wada-hadalku ma siin karo koox aan doorasho qaran ku imaan awood ka sarreysa hay’adaha dowladda. Wada-hadalku waa inuu hagaajiyaa nidaamka, furaa tartanka, yareeyaa khilaafka oo ilaaliyaa xuquuqda mucaaradka. Waa inuusan noqon hab mar kasta lagu burburiyo hay’adaha marka siyaasiyiin awood leh ay diidaan geeddi-socodka socda. Doorashada hala saxo—yaan laga noqon Dowladda Federaalka waxaa saaran masuuliyad culus. Waa inay xaqiijisaa in doorashooyinka soo socda ay yihiin kuwo ammaan ah, daahfuran, tartan dhab ah leh, si madax-bannaanna loo kormeero. Mucaaradku waa inuu helaa xorriyad uu ku abaabulo xisbiyo, ku soo bandhigo musharraxiin, ku ololeeyo, ula socdo codbixinta, uguna gudbiyo cabashooyinka hay’ado lagu kalsoonaan karo. Haddii dowladda ay maamusho musharraxiinta, guddiyada iyo natiijada, qof iyo cod wuxuu noqonayaa magac qurux badan oo aan wax macne ah lahayn. Golaha Mustaqbalkuna waa inuu ka gudbaa shirarka siyaasiyiinta iyo waraaqaha loo dirayo dibadda. Haddii xubnihiisu aaminsan yihiin inay shacabka taageero ka haystaan, waa inay dhistaan xisbiyo, soo bandhigaan qorshe cad, una tartamaan codka muwaadiniinta. Soomaaliya uma baahna in mucaaradka la aamusiiyo. Sidoo kale uma baahna in hay’adaha dowladda loo gacan geliyo koox kasta oo awood u leh inay carqalad abuurto. Waxay u baahan tahay dowlad lala xisaabtami karo, mucaarad mas’uul ah, sharci qof walba ka sarreeya iyo muwaadin leh cod la tixgeliyo. Heshiis siyaasadeed waa muhiim. Laakiin heshiis aan shacabka cod siinayn waa heshiis siyaasiyiin—ma aha heshiis qaran. Beesha caalamku waa inay Soomaaliya ku taageertaa inay horay u socoto, halkii ay mar kasta dib ugu celin lahayd nidaamkii ay isku dayaysay inay ka gudubto. Dowladda hadda jirta waa in lagu cadaadiyaa inay hagaajiso doorashada, ee ma aha inay ka tanaasusho. Waa in la taageeraa dadaalka lagu dhammaystirayo qof iyo cod, lagu xoojinayo dagaalka Al-Shabaab, laguna dhisayo hay’ado ka cimri dheer madaxda maanta joogta. Mustaqbalka Soomaaliya laguma go’aamin karo waraaq loo kala diro caasimadaha shisheeye. Waxaa lagu go’aaminayaa codka shacabka Soomaaliyeed.

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